GBPUSD Could Drop Below 1.26 If BoE Is Dovish
The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee is almost certain to keep interest rates unchanged today despite inflation rising well above its 2% target.
The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee is almost certain to keep interest rates unchanged today despite inflation rising well above its 2% target.
The EURUSD pair shot like a rocket into the stratosphere after less than impressive US numbers came out during the early New York trading.
Last week was a bad one for the US dollar. Market participants questioned whether it was premature to assume a June rate rise was forthcoming and that the path of future interest rate rises would be the same as those as set out by the FOMC’s projections.
The dollar buying witnessed at the start of the week was driven by rising expectations about a June rate hike following last week’s FOMC statement and a solid US monthly jobs report.
As markets return to full participation following the Easter recess, and as a new trading week get’s underway, I thought it would be apposite to consider the three primary currencies of the US dollar, the yen and the euro on the daily timeframes.
AUDUSD recently broke below its ascending channel visible on the 1-hour and 4-hour time frames. Price has dipped to a low of .7635 before showing signs of a pullback. Applying the Fib tool on the swing high and low shows that the 50% retracement level lines up with the broken support.
AUDUSD is slowly trending higher, moving inside a rising wedge pattern visible on its 1-hour and 4-hour charts. Price is testing the resistance and could be due for a move back to support at the .7475 level.