UNL

Natural Gas Commentary

Natural Gas traded higher settling $3.47, up $0.033 0.9%. The curve was mostly firmer (outside of X/F $0.027 weaker, UNG concludes tomorrow), J13/F14 $0.017 firmer, 14/16 little changed. J13/F14 -$0.528 approaching highs ~$-0.52 (charts/seasonality below). Hub cash was ~$0.19 back this morning, Z-6 down $0.05 to $3.40.

Energy Report

Natural Gas traded lower, settling $3.437 down $0.049 (1.4%). The curve was mixed, (X/Z $0.045 lower as the UNG roll continues through Thursday, H13/J13 $0.005 weaker, J13/V13 $0.005 firmer), 13/16 was $0.03 firmer. Hub cash was ~$0.17 back this morning, Z-6 down $0.05 to $3.45.

Energy Report

The weak tone of yesterday’s session indicates that oil prices may move toward the lower end of the two-week consolidation near $89.00 in the near-term. Focus will be on DOE inventories and ADP payrolls today, which may offer modest pressure. Pressure could also come from a lack of investment moving into energy markets at the start of Q4, concerns over global growth, and a slow pace of reform in Spain and Greece. Support may be found from favorable car sales reported yesterday, and relative strength in the euro. We’d look for prices to test support at $88.95 (Sep 26th low) over the next few days.