Tesla returns in spirit if not in body!
With so much media focus on shutdown & the debt ceiling crisis in the US, I thought that today I wouldn’t add further to the thousands of words being written and spoken. Instead, I want to tell you a story.
With so much media focus on shutdown & the debt ceiling crisis in the US, I thought that today I wouldn’t add further to the thousands of words being written and spoken. Instead, I want to tell you a story.
This week was always going to be a tricky one for both traders and investors, with the market’s primary focus being the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. The meeting at which the FED is likely to signal the beginning of the end of its bond buying program. Well, that’s the theory anyway, but given the less that stellar NFP data, this is far from certain.
With the long summer days now coming to an end, it’s time to re-visit that perennial gauge of market risk, the VIX for a view of whether the equity market is indeed over bought, and likely to reverse dramatically.
The WTI September crude oil futures contract is now building into an interesting phase of price action, and in many ways is mirroring a similar period between May and July 2013, where the commodity oscillated between $92 per barrel to the downside and $98 per barrel to the upside, before finally breaking out.
As mentioned in the previous post, the Yen index can give us an excellent perspective of market sentiment, given the Yen’s unique position within the forex market as both a currency of safe haven and a gauge of market risk.
The Bank of Japan took control of it’s currency in grand style last week, having duly selected the largest hypodermic they could find, filled it with steroids, and then injected a syringe full directly into the artery of the dollar yen.
For longer term traders in YM futures, the index in April has continued the pattern of trading that we saw during the second half of March, with the Emini contract trading in a tight range, closing the week following the NFP data, at 14,484, and back in this area once again.
With commodities in general taking a hammering in the markets at the moment, neither silver or gold have escaped. In the last two days, the dramatic falls in silver, have also been reflected in gold futures, with the June contract trading lower once again overnight on Globex as we test the $1540 per ounce level.
What an end to the month! If traders in soft commodities were expecting a quiet end to the first quarter of 2013, there was a real sting in the tail, with the latest USDA report released on the 28th March, sending corn futures tumbling, and spilling over into oats and the soybean market. And the catalyst for these dramatic falls?
Gold continued to trade in a narrow range once again yesterday, with the April gold futures contract closing marginally lower and ending the gold trading session with a narrow spread down candle, closing just below the psychological $1600 per ounce level at $1594.80 per ounce.