Last week was an interesting one for oil traders (USO, quote) and speculators, as crude oil continued to move lower from Monday to Thursday, before bouncing strongly on Friday and closing in positive territory for the day, with a deep wicked candle on the daily chart and associated with high volume.
Oil prices continue to remain heavily bearish on the daily chart following the initial failure at the $106 per barrel area in early July which was the tipping point for the commodity, with the final phase of this particular price action, clearly marked with a shooting star candle and pivot high, coupled with high volume, and confirming the weakness at this level.
Crude oil futures finally managed to find some bullish momentum today, courtesy of the oil inventories from Cushing, which helped oil to reclaim the $100 per barrel level, to currently trade at the time of writing at $101.26 per barrel.
Brent crude oil (BNO, quote) was steady above $109 as investors kept a close eye on the developing situation in Ukraine and breathed a sigh of relief following in-line Chinese data.
Brent crude oil (BNO,quote) gained momentum on Wednesday as growth in industrialized countries became more likely. The commodity traded at $107.10 at 6:30 GMT on Wednesday morning.
Well the Fed minutes have come and gone and the worry and hesitance ahead of the release was unwarranted.
Crude oil continued its bearish tone once again last week, closing the oil trading session on Friday at $94.61 per barrel for the December futures contract. With the fundamental picture now calming, the technical element is taking center stage, and in the last few weeks crude oil has breached several key levels, as outlined in previous posts.
Welcomes to today’s Morning Coffee Break – U.S. markets are coming of the largest single day gains since early September. Depending on which analysts have the airways the move was due to an extreme oversold condition while others point to the growing confidence in a deal to avoid the fiscal cliff.
This week’s trade in the oil market may witness bottoming action take place, as the U.S. election begins to move to center stage. There may also be an exit from the markets by hedge funds that close their books on Oct 31st, but the impact they actually exert may be somewhat limited in the near-term as their long positioning has already been reduced.
Welcome to Wednesday’s Morning Coffee Break – Yesterday’s rally of triple digits on the Dow Jones Industrial and over 14 points in the S&P 500 has put U.S. markets back in the green for the month of October, just 8 session before Friday’s 25th anniversary of the 1987 stock crash.
