Welcome to today’s Morning Coffee Break – U.S futures are indicating a lower open with fair value for the Dow Jones at -23.10, S&P 500 at -2.24 and the NASDAQ fair value at -5.84. Market participants will get to hear from two Federal Reserve officials throughout the day today.
Traders are setting their focus on 3 key events today as U.S. market session prepares to open. U.S futures are suggesting positive open with the Dow Jones fair value up by 20.64 and the S&P 500’s fair value higher by 3.34. The NASDAQ is getting nice push higher ahead of Apple’s (APPL, [stock APPL]). Fair value for the NASDAQ is higher by 9.81.
The Euro bounced sharply off of multi-year lows in a week of impressive recovery for the US S&P 500 and broader financial markets.
The greenback is markedly weaker at the close of North American trade with the Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index (Ticker: USDOLLAR) off by 0.67% on the session after moving a full 135% of its daily average true range. The losses come on the back of a stellar performance in equity markets with a rebound in risk appetite fueling a broad-based rally in stocks amid speculation that the ECB will
Based on our regular economic and monetary analyses, we decided to keep the key ECB interest rates unchanged. While inflation rates are likely to stay above 2% for the remainder of 2012, over the policy-relevant horizon we expect price developments to remain in line with price stability. Consistent with this picture, the underlying pace of monetary expansion remains subdued. Inflation expectations for the euro area economy continue to be firmly anchored in line with our aim of maintaining inflation rates below, but close to, 2% over the medium term
Breaking News Out of the ECB
European investors’ optimism for the Eurozone has reached a 3-year low according to a Sentix survey. The Sentix investor confidence for June came in at -28.9, the lowest score since May 2009, but still better than analysts’ expectations for a -30.0 survey result. Back in March of this year, the survey reached a six month high at -8.2, before the survey results declined for the next four straight months.
U.S. markets started out flat but eventually gave into selling pressure to lock in the 10 loss in 12 days and a new multi month low.
This stock market has problems. Problems indeed! With what appeared to be an oversold bounce this morning was shattered on more negative news from the ECB cutting funding to certain Greece’s banks not to mention the FOMC statement about highlighting several members saw the need for additional stimulus causing the bulls packing once again.
After Greek leaders announced that they failed to form a government, guaranteeing at least one more round of elections, higher yielding currencies and risk-correlated assets entered a free fall. The EURUSD fell to its lowest level since January 17 overnight while the AUDUSD dropped to its lowest level since December 15. Similarly, global equity markets have sold off sharply in the aftermath, with Asian shares being hit the hardest.
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