Euro – Is this the Recovery or the Calm before the Storm?
The Euro bounced sharply off of multi-year lows in a week of impressive recovery for the US S&P 500 and broader financial markets.
European Central Bank
Mario Draghi, President of the ECB Statement
Based on our regular economic and monetary analyses, we decided to keep the key ECB interest rates unchanged. While inflation rates are likely to stay above 2% for the remainder of 2012, over the policy-relevant horizon we expect price developments to remain in line with price stability. Consistent with this picture, the underlying pace of monetary expansion remains subdued. Inflation expectations for the euro area economy continue to be firmly anchored in line with our aim of maintaining inflation rates below, but close to, 2% over the medium term
Breaking News – ECB
Breaking News Out of the ECB
US Dollar Rally May Find Added Fuel in Global Slowdown Fears
Most of the major currency pairs continue to show significant correlations with the MSCI World Stock Index, suggesting that broad-based risk appetite trends remain dominant as drivers of price action. This puts thematic macro-level concerns – specifically, the durability of the US recovery and its ability to offset headwinds from Europe and China facing global growth – squarely at the forefront. The US economic calendar is relatively quiet, with headline event risk clustered at the end of the week as PPI and UofM Consumer Confidence readings cross the wires on Friday. This puts the onus on evaluating the extent of downward pressure.
Euro Under Pressure But Still Waiting for Daily Close Below 1.3000
The ongoing political turmoil in Europe continues to shake the markets, with the inability for Greece to form a government now fueling speculation that the country might soon exit the Eurozone. Although an exit by Greece would have only a minimal impact on the broader economy, given the country’s size, fears of contagion seem to be the bigger problem right now, as investors start to price in the impact this will have on larger economies like Spain and Italy.
EUR Bearish Pattern Continues To Take Shape, GBP Correction In Focus
Euro: French, Greek Elections Raises Risk For Breakup – 1.3000 Crucial British Pound: Correction In Focus, BoE To Discuss Exit Strategy Euro: French, Greek Elections Raises Risk For Breakup – 1.3000 Crucial The Euro tumbled to a fresh monthly low of 1.2954 as French President Francois Hollande overtook Nicolas Sarkozy as the president of France, while the two main parties in Greece failed to obtain a joint majority, and the
Euro Under Intense Pressure in Monday Trade; Below 1.3125 Accelerates
Euro reverses course in early weekly trade Softer round of Eurozone PMIs weigh heavily on risk appetite Global equities also trade with heavy tone US Dollar and Japanese Yen prime beneficiaries Eurozone sovereign debt highest since Euro established Currencies were under pressure for the entire European session, with the safe haven US Dollar and Japanese Yen benefitting from the risk off trade. The pullback in the Euro has been quite