As markets return to full participation following the Easter recess, and as a new trading week get’s underway, I thought it would be apposite to consider the three primary currencies of the US dollar, the yen and the euro on the daily timeframes.
So far in this morning’s forex trading session it’s been a case of selling the euro and buying the commodity dollars, with a strong move lower also in the EUR/JPY, although this bearish sentiment towards the euro has not been as strong in eurodollar.
The USDJPY continues to deliver a masterclass in patience for longer term traders, with the long term consolidation phase continuing once again last week, as the pair closed with a narrow spread down candle on the weekly chart, ending the futures trading session at 101.30.
Short Term Daily Forex Analysis – August 16, 2013 Being contained by the resistance of the downward trend line on 4-hour chart, USDJPY pulls back from 98.64.
USDJPY remains in downtrend from 96.70, the rise from 93.53 is likely consolidation of the downtrend. Key resistance is now located at the upper line of the price channel on 4-hour chart.
USDJPY moves sideways in a trading range between 94.31 and 96.70. The price action in the range is likely consolidation of the uptrend from 90.93.
EURUSD remains in downtrend from 1.3711 (Feb 1 high), the rise from 1.2843 is likely consolidation of the downtrend. Key resistance is now located at the downward trend line on 4-hour chart, as long as the trend line resistance holds, the downtrend could be expected to resume, and another fall to 1.2800 is still possible.
USDCAD may be forming a cycle bottom at 1.0180 on 4-hour chart. Resistance is at the downward trend line, a clear break above the trend line resistance will indicate that the downward movement from 1.0341 had completed at 1.0180 already,
EURUSD’s downward movement from 1.3711 extends to as low as 1.2888. Key resistance is at 1.3161, as long as this level holds, the downtrend could be expected to continue, and next target would be at 1.2800 area, only break above 1.3161 resistance could signal completion of the downtrend.
USDCHF’s upward movement from 0.9021 extends to as high as 0.9567. Key support is located at the upward trend line on 4-hour chart, as long as the trend line support holds, the fall from 0.9567 could be treated as consolidation of the uptrend, another rise to 0.9600 area is still possible after consolidation.
