GBPUSD Still Faces Significant Brexit-Related Risks
After a 300-pip rally on Tuesday, the GBPUSD is unsurprisingly taking a breather today. Tuesday’s upsurge came on the back of news Theresa May called for a snap general election.
After a 300-pip rally on Tuesday, the GBPUSD is unsurprisingly taking a breather today. Tuesday’s upsurge came on the back of news Theresa May called for a snap general election.
Financial markets opened in a bit of a panic mode overnight in the wake of Trump’s failure to repeal Obamacare. Stock index futures slumped while the dollar index fell to its lowest since mid-November as the yen and euro both gapped higher. The dollar’s losses steepened after the London open as the GBP/USD climbed to near 1.26 handle and EUR/USD neared 1.0900. European stock indices bounced off their lows slightly.
The euro finds itself higher across the board. The EUR/USD has risen above the 1.0800 handle again, the EUR/GBP to 0.8650 and the EUR/JPY was back at 120.00 at the time of writing.
The Australian dollar is going to be in focus next week. Retail sales will be released on Monday while the Reserve Bank of Australia will be making a decision on interest rates a day later on Tuesday.
Inflation has made a dramatic return in the Eurozone. In February, the headline CPI measure rose to 2.0% year-over-year, accelerating from 1.8% in January.
Expansion in China’s manufacturing activity gained momentum in February as producers revved up output to meet an increase in new orders that were mainly bolstered by rapidly growing foreign demand, an industry survey sponsored by Caixin showed Wednesday.
The European Central Bank’s large bond buying programme appears to be finally working its magic. Inflation is on the rise, unemployment is falling and the economic bloc is – believe it or not – growing, all thanks to years of zero interest rates, several versions of bond purchases programme and a resulting weak currency.
Black Friday means financial markets will close earlier than usual today, but don’t despair as there is a lot to look forward to next week.
At the start of a week full of US earnings, important economic data and a couple of central bank meetings, risk is somewhat off the menu. Equities, copper and, to a lesser degree, oil prices were all trading lower at the time of this writing.
The rally for copper finally came to an abrupt halt yesterday as weak economic trade data news from China dealt the base metal a mortal blow, sending it plunging lower and closing the session with the wide spread down candle on very high volume, and signalling the end to the rally of September.