Dollar’s Consolidative Days Numbered?
The dollar’s laborious consolidative days seem to be numbered from both the technical and fundamental points of view.
The dollar’s laborious consolidative days seem to be numbered from both the technical and fundamental points of view.
The dollar staged a broad-based rally on Thursday to make back some of the losses it had suffered earlier in the week which had been on the back of a poor ISM services PMI reading and last week’s disappointing jobs report.
The Yen index continued to rise overnight as the markets absorbed news from the two day meeting of the Bank of Japan, with the general tone being one of disappointment, and the yen (FXY, quote) strengthening as a result.
China’s (FXI, quote) Consumer Price Index (CPI) in June is likely to increase 1.9 percent year on year, slightly less than the 2 percent recorded in May, according to an industry report.
China’s (FXI, quote) consumer prices grew 2.3 percent in March year on year, the same as in February, according to the data issued by the National Bureau of Statistics Monday.
Gold prices finished last week in bullish mood once again following the extended period of price congestion which has seen the precious metal trade within the range of the wide spread volatility up candle of the 11th February.
The Federal Reserve’s upcoming December meeting is likely to result in an interest rate hike; the majority of analysts are expecting the bank to make a move.
One of the many factors used to decide whether a central bank should or should not raise interest rates is inflation, of which energy is a main contributor, and given the extended bearish trend for oil prices at present this aspect of the decision making process is likely to remain sharply in focus.
EURUSD had been trading inside an ascending triangle chart pattern since the start of the year, as price formed higher lows and found resistance near the 1.1500 major psychological level.
USDJPY has been making higher lows and lower highs, creating a symmetrical triangle on its 1-hour time frame. Price just bounced off the triangle resistance and is currently testing support, still awaiting a bounce or a breakdown.