NZDUSD has been on a selloff but it looks like a reversal may be in order. Price is forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern on its 4-hour time frame, with an upside break of the neckline at the .6600 handle likely to send the pair up by 200 pips or the same height as the formation.
NZDUSD is forming a descending triangle on its 4-hour time frame, making lower highs and finding support around the .6500 major psychological level. Price just got rejected on its latest test of the triangle resistance and is making its way back towards the bottom of the triangle.
NZDUSD got rejected in its test of the descending triangle resistance and is now moving back to the bottom around the .6500 major psychological level. Whether a bounce or a break takes place depends on the outcome of the economic reports from New Zealand in the next few days.
Despite the sharp selloff that took place in today’s Asian trading session and the double top pattern that formed on the short-term time frames, NZDUSD’s uptrend is still intact.
NZD/USD is forming a rising channel on its 1-hour time frame, after having bounced off the bottom near the .8200 major psychological support.
USDJPY continues its upward movement from 92.56, and the rise extends to as high as 99.66. Further rise is still possible after a minor consolidation, and next target would be at 101.00 area.
Most of the major currency pairs continue to show significant correlations with the MSCI World Stock Index, suggesting that broad-based risk appetite trends remain dominant as drivers of price action. This puts thematic macro-level concerns – specifically, the durability of the US recovery and its ability to offset headwinds from Europe and China facing global growth – squarely at the forefront. The US economic calendar is relatively quiet, with headline event risk clustered at the end of the week as PPI and UofM Consumer Confidence readings cross the wires on Friday. This puts the onus on evaluating the extent of downward pressure.
The ongoing political turmoil in Europe continues to shake the markets, with the inability for Greece to form a government now fueling speculation that the country might soon exit the Eurozone. Although an exit by Greece would have only a minimal impact on the broader economy, given the country’s size, fears of contagion seem to be the bigger problem right now, as investors start to price in the impact this will have on larger economies like Spain and Italy.
Euro: French, Greek Elections Raises Risk For Breakup – 1.3000 Crucial British Pound: Correction In Focus, BoE To Discuss Exit Strategy Euro: French, Greek Elections Raises Risk For Breakup – 1.3000 Crucial The Euro tumbled to a fresh monthly low of 1.2954 as French President Francois Hollande overtook Nicolas Sarkozy as the president of France, while the two main parties in Greece failed to obtain a joint majority, and the
THE TAKEAWAY: PPI numbers come in lower than expected -> high energy prices continue to affect producers -> Euro trades within tight range Producer price inflation in the 17-nation Eurozone increased less than expected in March, representing the sixth consecutive monthly drop in the gauge. The month-on-month number came in at 0.6% vs. the 0.5% predicted by economists, while the yearly number was 3.3% versus the expected 3.4%. The numbers
