The U.S. dollar continues to remain under pressure as the U.S. dollar index trades below the 80 level to 79.68 in anticipation of the Federal Reserve will begin its third round of monetary easing (QE3). Market participants are focusing on tomorrow’s statement from the FMOC scheduled for 12:30 a.m. ET.
As traders get ready to move on the FOMC statement out shortly at 12:30
Markets are off to a positive start in the early week, with two key developments over the weekend seen as the primary drivers for the initial surge in risk correlated assets. The news that EU assistance to the Spanish banking sector in the amount of Eur100B has well exceeded estimates of most analysts, while Chinese data was not as bad as many had feared. Both of these developments have resulted in a market rally driven by the expectation that the global economy will continue to be supported by proponomics.
The Dow Jones-FXCM U.S. Dollar Index (Ticker: USDollar) is 0.05 percent higher from the open after moving 77 percent of its average true range, and the greenback may continue to recoup the losses from earlier this month as Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke softens his dovish tone for monetary policy
Futures are suggesting the markets could build on yesterday’s bounce. Futures are up ahead of the open with S&P fair value at +13.00 and NASDAQ fair value at +21.80.
EUR/USD at Interim Resistance
In previous months, these pages have warned of slowing global growth and cited crude as the leading indicator. Crude plummeted nearly 18% in May compared with just a little over a 6% decline in the S&P 500. Reitterating the stance that crude is the leader (the ‘tell’ if you will) in the next wave of develeveraging, equities probably have much more downside in the coming months.
S&P fair value is at +4.50. NASDAQ fair value is +7.00. The Dow posted it’s 11th out of 12 trading loss while the S&P 500 posted its 10th out 12 trading loss yesterday setting up the U.S. markets for
This stock market has problems. Problems indeed! With what appeared to be an oversold bounce this morning was shattered on more negative news from the ECB cutting funding to certain Greece’s banks not to mention the FOMC statement about highlighting several members saw the need for additional stimulus causing the bulls packing once again.
The Aussie dollar against the U.S. dollar continues is move lower supporting our bearish basis on the AUD/USD.
