Cable’s (FXB, quote) recent revival which was signalled with a two bar reversal off the strong support platform at 1.5163 came to a juddering halt today on the release of the CPI data. Until this release cable had been testing the 1.5474 area as well as the 100 ma which capped the recent rally.
EURGBP is still moving sideways on its 1-hour forex chart, bouncing off support at the .7260 area and finding resistance at .7360. Price is on its way up to test the top of the range once more while stochastic is moving down from the overbought zone, suggesting that the resistance might hold.
GBPUSD recently broke past the resistance at the 1.5650-.1.5700 psychological levels and is showing signs of a pullback from the rally.
t only took a shift in rhetoric from RBA Gov Glen Stevens to upset the Aussie dollar bears whose best laid plans went sent completely awry.
Of the currencies likely to be in focus this week, I really did not expect the week to start with a further move lower for the Loonie (and the Canadian economy) which have both been badly affected by falling oil prices (USO, quote) .
EURGBP is still on a downtrend but the pair is currently testing the top of the descending channel visible on its 4-hour time frame. If resistance around the top of the channel or .7200 holds, the pair could move back to the bottom at .7000 or lower.
GBPUSD is currently testing the rising trend line connecting the recent lows of price action on the 4-hour time frame. The pair is also drawing support at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and the 100 SMA.
GBPUSD has been forming higher lows and finding resistance at the 2.1200 to 2.1300 levels, creating an ascending triangle pattern on its 1-hour chart.
Market focus this morning returns to the more mundane, namely the BOE inflation report and press conference with Gov Mark Carney, and it will be interesting to see whether Cable can continue to build on its recent platform of support in the 1.5 region.
GBPUSD is showing signs of a pullback, as price previously found support near the 1.5000 major psychological level. Using the Fibonacci retracement tool on the latest swing high and low on the 4-hour time frame indicates that the 61.8% Fibonacci level lines up with a former support zone.
