USDCAD Forecast December 7, 2015, Technical Analysis
The USDCAD pair went back and forth during the course of the day on Wednesday as we got employment numbers out of both the United States and Canada.
The USDCAD pair went back and forth during the course of the day on Wednesday as we got employment numbers out of both the United States and Canada.
USDCAD has been moving sideways for quite some time, but the pair seems to have formed lower highs on the 1-hour time frame.
Of the currencies likely to be in focus this week, I really did not expect the week to start with a further move lower for the Loonie (and the Canadian economy) which have both been badly affected by falling oil prices (USO, quote) .
After surging past the key resistance around 1.2800 during the BOC rate statement, USDCAD is forming a bullish flag pattern that suggests potential continuation.
USDCAD is showing signs of a pullback on its 1-hour time frame, as the pair bounced off the 1.2200 major psychological support area. Price is now testing resistance at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, which lines up with the short-term 100 SMA.
As another trading week and month gets underway, it’s time to take a look at several of the major currency pairs in the futures market ahead of what is likely to be an interesting time.
No changed in our view, USDCAD remains in uptrend from 1.0810 (Aug 29 low), the fall from 1.1385 would possibly be consolidation of the uptrend.
With many of the major trading centres closed yesterday for public holidays, and with little in the way of meaningful fundamental news to drive price action, trading volumes in currency futures remained thin, with the Aussie dollar, the British Pound, the Canadian dollar and the Euro, all consolidating further following the volatile price action of last week.
The Canadian dollar has continued to come under heavy selling pressure once again today, driven by a resurgent US dollar, which has now broken through the key 81.30 level on the daily chart of the dollar index, to move firmly higher from this platform of support which is now in place.
Following on from my recent posts about the bearish nature of the USDCAD and the medium term prospects for the Loonie, today’s advance GDP release has helped to drive the Canadian lower once again, accelerating its downwards progress and adding to yesterday’s wide spread down candle.