The S&P is up over 14% on the year, $ follows $ and the world loves equities over nearly everything else, is it any surprise to see a surge in equities yesterday while grains get punished and it happened to be the 1st day of the new quarter?
Welcome to Tuesday’s Morning Coffee Break – U.S markets started off the 4th quarter with strong trading intraday gains, although the Dow Jones and S&P 500 indexes did close solidly in the green the markets did exhibit the most recent trend off lately of selling off into the close. U.S. indexes closed well off their intraday highs with the NASDAQ falling into negative. The averages ended the day well off
The overnight session gives a bit for everyone as the market continues to digest the past USDA report. The corn market is the market back on the front page as supplies remain tight. The beans are also tight but not as tight as many had assumed and wheat is also shrinking on the supply side. The bottom line is that the USDA once again was able to absorb some early harvest into the old crop figures and as long as there is early harvest this pattern seems to work. The question is what do they do when there isn’t an early harvest? This is a debate for another time as it doesn’t matter today.
Welcome to Monday’s Morning Coffee Break – Today’s U.S. session is the session of first – first day of new week, first day of new month and first day of a new quarter. U.S. markets finished off the September and the 3rd quarter in the green albeit the bulls loss some steam the final week of trading.
What a difference a month makes, just 30 days ago the bean and corn markets were pushing near all-time highs with thoughts of another 10% surge, there wasn’t many anticipating that the 10% move would be lower. The seasonal tendency all points towards September being a dismal month to be long grains, but this year was different…right? Apparently not. So what does the market do from here?
Welcome to the today’s Afternoon Brief- Four hours into the U.S. session equities continue to climb after Spain released its 2013 budget. According to a release from Deputy Prime Minister the budget will focus on spending cuts and not raise taxes.
Welcome to Thursday’s Morning Coffee Break – U.S. markets struggled the first 3 sessions of the week as its on pace for the largest weekly move in 4 months. However, in today’s pre-market U.S. futures are pointing to bounce higher at the open as traders approached not only end of the week but the end of the 3rd quarter.
With all the bad news hitting the news wires the U.S. market actually held in better than I thought it would.
Welcome to Tuesday’s Morning Coffee Break – U.S. futures are holding their own going into the Wednesday’s session amidst Asian and European markets solidly in the red. Both the Asian and European regions are selling off on concerns from yesterday’s U.S. session and comments from non-voting FMOC member, Charles Plosser comments that QE3 will not provide the stimulus that the Federal Reserve is looking to obtain. Market participants will get
The overnight markets have attempted once again to recover from some of the punches it has taken in the gut over the past few weeks. It’s amazing to look back at seasonal trades and think “why didn’t I respond to what history has taught me”? One of the biggest seasonal trades in grains is to sell the market through September, this has been no different yet on September 1st the perception was that this year is different. Well if we look back at history again there is typically a quick 50% retracement of the September losses during the first few weeks of October.
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