Commodities price are firmer today with base and especially precious metals ending a bad run off losses, while crude oil has extended its gains from the day before when it rallied sharply on the back of the weekly US oil inventories report.
Whilst gold and silver have a relatively close relationship in terms of associated price action, in the last few weeks these relatively close bedfellows have diverged somewhat, with silver continuing the bearish sentiment initiated in mid April, whilst gold pauses and reflects, with neither metal appearing to benefit greatly from recent weakness in the US dollar (UUP, quote).
For gold traders and gold investors, the daily chart for the precious metal has delivered some simple and clear examples of the power of volume price analysis, and how it can help us not only identify reversals and turning points, but also help us to stay in a position – which is the hardest part of trading success, bar none.
The heavily bearish sentiment for gold continued to remain firmly in place once again last week, as the precious metal continues its stately progress ever lower, following the cataclysmic candle of the 9th November, when ultra high volume confirmed the heavy selling.
It is safe to say that markets don’t like uncertainty but this is on another level. Fears that Donald Trump was going to win the election saw risk-sensitive assets drop faster than Hillary Clinton’s hopes of becoming the next US President overnight.
The AUDUSD pair initially fell on Monday but then found buyers to push the market higher.
The Australian dollar initially fell during the day on Wednesday, but turned around to form a relatively supportive looking candle.
At the start of a week full of US earnings, important economic data and a couple of central bank meetings, risk is somewhat off the menu. Equities, copper and, to a lesser degree, oil prices were all trading lower at the time of this writing.
As we highlighted the possibility on Monday, gold took a big plunge below the psychologically-important and support level of $1300 per ounce yesterday. The breakdown triggered further follow-up technical selling, causing gold to fall for a time below $1270 per ounce.
The metronomic price action for gold is continuing to play out once again on the daily chart, with the rally of late September starting to wane once again, as the precious metal descends once more to test the all important technical support area in the $1308 per ounce region in early trading.
