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CurveAheadMarketStrategies.com Morning Coffee Break

Welcome to today’s Morning Coffee Break – traders had a case of Deja vu yesterday as the U.S. markets traded similar to last week ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) and U.S Federal Reserve meetings. U.S. futures are indicating a positive opening today with the Dow Jones fair value of 30.36, S&P 500 fair value of 2.33 and the NASDAQ’s fair value currently at 5.37.  

CurveAheadMarketStrategies.com Morning Coffee Break

Welcome to today’s Morning Coffee Break – U.S futures are indicating a lower open with fair value for the Dow Jones at -23.10, S&P 500 at -2.24 and the NASDAQ fair value at -5.84. Market participants will get to hear from two Federal Reserve officials throughout the day today.

CurveAheadMarketStrategies.com Morning Coffee Break

Welcome to today’s Morning Coffee Break – On the first day of trading this week traders are waking up to lower futures in the U.S. stock indexes after last week’s rally sparked by the Federal Reserve’s aggressive new round of quantitative (QE3) easing last week Thursday.

CurveAheadMarketStrategies.com Morning Coffee Break

Welcome to today’s Morning Coffee Break – The Federal Reserve decisively stepped off the sidelines with a stronger than expected new round of unlimited quantitative easing (QE3) sending U.S. markets rallying. Market participants are clearly satisfied with the FMOC’s move as U.S. futures are indicating an extension of yesterday’s rally.

Breaking News - AMD

Breaking News – Advanced Micro Devices warns prior to earnings announcement.

China Economic Data Releases

China’s June Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) data release overnight are mixed.

EURUSD FXE

Markets are off to a positive start in the early week, with two key developments over the weekend seen as the primary drivers for the initial surge in risk correlated assets. The news that EU assistance to the Spanish banking sector in the amount of Eur100B has well exceeded estimates of most analysts, while Chinese data was not as bad as many had feared. Both of these developments have resulted in a market rally driven by the expectation that the global economy will continue to be supported by proponomics.

New Zealand Dollar Rebound Threatened by Dovish RBNZ

The New Zealand Dollar was the second best performer this week, finishing just 0.12 percent lower against the top performer, the Australian Dollar. The Kiwi crushed the safe haven currencies, the Japanese Yen and the US Dollar, appreciating by 3.72 percent and 2.05 percent, respectively. As Currency Strategist Ilya Spivak frequently notes, the New Zealand Dollar has a very tight correlation to the MSCI World Stock Index, so the commodity currency is at bay to global risk trends.

Australian Dollar and British Pound Outperform on PBoC, BoE

After yesterday’s massive rally – in fact the biggest rally since December by the Australian Dollar and the Dow Jones Industrial Average since December 20, 2011 – it would appear that all global issues have been resolved.

U.S. Stock Market

Futures are suggesting the markets could build on yesterday’s bounce.  Futures are up ahead of the open with S&P fair value at +13.00 and NASDAQ fair value at +21.80.