For gold bugs, and even for their lesser brethren in silver, not only is the sun shining in the summer months, but the sun is truly shining on gold as a confluence of factors helps to propel the precious metal ever higher, and one wonders when the angst laden doom mongers will appear forecasting an overbought position.
As markets return to full participation following the Easter recess, and as a new trading week get’s underway, I thought it would be apposite to consider the three primary currencies of the US dollar, the yen and the euro on the daily timeframes.
The technical support platform in the $1305 per ounce area came to the rescue of gold once again last week, with five consecutive days of gains, taking the precious metal from the gapped up open of Monday at $1313 per ounce to end the week at $1341.70 on the December contract.
Some are born to lead and others to follow, and the NQ emini has once again regained its rightful place as leader of US equity markets, following a period when it has been lagging behind its two sisters.
This morning’s IEA supply report has suggested demand would remains weak into 2017, and with a downward revision to its demand forecast, this has added a bearish tone to oil prices once again, with the WTI contract for October trading lower at $45.27 at time of writing. The IEA see the forecast for 2016 falling by 100k bpd to 1.3 mln bpd.
Nervous best describes US equity markets today, and with so many influences now coming to bear, and this nervous tension can only increase over the next few weeks.
As we move to the end of another trading month a feature now building in US equity markets is the apparent disconnect between the three principal indices, and in particular the divergence between the NQ, which appears to be moving South, and the others which are moving North.
As we move towards the end of the first quarter of the new year, it is interesting to consider one of the more subtle changes to the principle US indices that appears to have passed by unnoticed,
For the YM emini futures (DIA, quote) contract there is only one game in town at present from a technical perspective, and that’s the resistance level just below the 17,800 region which like a tropical storm, continues to build in strength and develop as the days pass to weeks, and the weeks to months.
We have all heard of the Fosbury flop which revolutionized the sporting world of high jumping, but sadly the same could not be said of Janet yesterday who delivered their equivalent effort of the FED flop.
