Welcome to Thursday’s Morning Coffee Break – market participants will need to navigate several market directional influences today. The S&P 500 index has gains for 3 straight sessions with today’s futures suggesting a positive open once again.
Welcome to Wednesday’s Morning Coffee Break – U.S. markets start the third session of the week after two straight days of uneven trading. One positive take away from yesterday’s session was the break in the final hour sell off that has persists the last few weeks.
The weak tone of yesterday’s session indicates that oil prices may move toward the lower end of the two-week consolidation near $89.00 in the near-term. Focus will be on DOE inventories and ADP payrolls today, which may offer modest pressure. Pressure could also come from a lack of investment moving into energy markets at the start of Q4, concerns over global growth, and a slow pace of reform in Spain and Greece. Support may be found from favorable car sales reported yesterday, and relative strength in the euro. We’d look for prices to test support at $88.95 (Sep 26th low) over the next few days.
The S&P is up over 14% on the year, $ follows $ and the world loves equities over nearly everything else, is it any surprise to see a surge in equities yesterday while grains get punished and it happened to be the 1st day of the new quarter?
Welcome to Tuesday’s Morning Coffee Break – U.S markets started off the 4th quarter with strong trading intraday gains, although the Dow Jones and S&P 500 indexes did close solidly in the green the markets did exhibit the most recent trend off lately of selling off into the close. U.S. indexes closed well off their intraday highs with the NASDAQ falling into negative. The averages ended the day well off
The overnight session gives a bit for everyone as the market continues to digest the past USDA report. The corn market is the market back on the front page as supplies remain tight. The beans are also tight but not as tight as many had assumed and wheat is also shrinking on the supply side. The bottom line is that the USDA once again was able to absorb some early harvest into the old crop figures and as long as there is early harvest this pattern seems to work. The question is what do they do when there isn’t an early harvest? This is a debate for another time as it doesn’t matter today.
Welcome to Monday’s Morning Coffee Break – Today’s U.S. session is the session of first – first day of new week, first day of new month and first day of a new quarter. U.S. markets finished off the September and the 3rd quarter in the green albeit the bulls loss some steam the final week of trading.
Welcome to Friday’s Morning Coffee Break – U.S. futures are moving lower on the last day of the week and quarter on fears from the Euro Zone fears and U.S. economic data. After mix data from the U.S. economic calendar traders are looking towards Consumer Income, Spending and Sentiment reports.
Welcome to Tuesday’s Morning Coffee Break – History repeated itself as the Dow Jones dropped for the 15th Monday out of 16th weeks. U.S. futures are suggesting positive opening in early electronic trading with the Dow Jones fair value at 18.08, S&P 500 fair value 1.66 and the NASDAQ’s fair value coming in at 4.12.
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