Daily Energy Report
Daily Energy Report – The selloff in oil prices yesterday almost fully unwound the rally made on Monday as the buildup of fear subsided.
Daily Energy Report – The selloff in oil prices yesterday almost fully unwound the rally made on Monday as the buildup of fear subsided.
Welcome to today’s Morning Coffee Break – U.S. markets are coming off a beaten up week with last week Friday the only trading session to see all 3 index in the green. The Dow Jones Industrial Average loss more than 1,000 points last week with 5 out 6 days to the downside.
Oil prices have held within a roughly $2.50/bbl trading range in the past seven days since the initial post-election $4.27/bbl washout on Nov 7th. While the Israel/Gaza conflict has been supportive for the market, it has only been a factor in the last two days of last week.
Welcome to today’s Morning Coffee Break – U.S. markets are getting ready for the final session of a losing week. Markets suffered on increasing focus and concern over the looming fiscal cliff. Opinions surrounding the fiscal cliff differ from one extreme to the other.
Oil prices may continue to fall in the near-term, with WTI potentially reaching $80.00 over the next few weeks. December WTI will expire today, and could lead to a similarly lopsided trade as yesterday’s expiration of December Brent.
The overnight markets are starting to show signs of life again, but considering the bean market is down nearly 10% since the first of the month things are just trying to get its footing again before it starts to run.
A mid-morning attack by Israel of a Hamas leader yesterday sent the oil market higher, but unless the tensions escalate in the near-term, we would anticipate prices to continue moving lower
Natural Gas traded sharply higher settling $3.739 up $0.169, 4.5%. The curve was much firmer 13/17 $0.09 tighter. Hub cash was firmer, ~$0.11 back this morning, Z-6 up $0.30 to $4.00. Algonquin traded up to $8.75 this morning, highest spot price of the year.
Look for the slow drift lower to continue in the near-term, as worries about the health of the economy and the fiscal cliff dominate. Stocks sold off yesterday on various corporate and European news items, but closed near the bottom of last week’s trading range as well as close to a new four-month low.
Daily Energy Report – The slow drift lower in oil prices should continue in the near-term, as worries grow over the fiscal cliff and the slow rate of economic growth. WTI could fall toward $80.00/bbl over the next few weeks as fiscal cliff negotiations appear likely to continue through the end of the year, U.S. production continues to grow, U.S. inventories remain elevated, and as problems in Europe remain in place