The oil market may continue its short-term correction in the near-term, but it’s also entering a support range between
$81.00 and $85.00/bbl. We think that the rate of decline will slow in the near-term, as some of the impulsive selling and weak longs exited the market during Monday’s session.
Not sure if it’s the fact that Obama won the debate last night or the fact that earnings continue to fall below expectations but it appears that the market is quickly moving back to a risk off environment moving back to capital preservation mode.
Natural Gas traded higher settling $3.535 up $0.083 2.6%. The curve was firmer, 13/16 $0.02 better. Hub cash was stronger, ~$0.12 back this morning, Z-6 down $0.10 to $3.50. The 12z was in line w/ overnight models, showing mostly cooler temps Eastern U.S. during the 6-10 day (Northern Plains came in slightly warmer).
Oil prices may continue their short-term correction over the next few days, with support in WTI offered between $81.00 and $85.00/bbl. We think that the rate of decline will slow in the near-term, as some of the impulsive selling and weak longs have exited the market. A focus will be on the FOMC announcement today, but little change in policy is expected after the last meeting’s implementation of QE3.
Welcome to Monday’s Morning Coffee Break – U.S. futures are suggesting a positive open this morning after Friday’s sharpest one day drop in nearly four months. Market participants will be starting the week off with no economic data releases putting the focus on earnings and U.S. politics. Headlines in the Euro Zone will have a stronger impact on U.S. markets as well.
Could the dog be waking up? The overnight markets are showing signs of life again as things seem to be making an attempt of coming back to life for the bulls. The beans are trading 15-20 higher, meal has gained $4-5, oil gained 25-30, corn is up 4-5 and wheat is up 6-7.
Natural Gas traded higher settling $3.587 up $0.117 3.4%, unchanged now WoW. The curve was much firmer,
Welcome to Friday’s Morning Coffee Break – U.S. equity futures are suggesting lower open on final session of the week, weak Google (GOOG, quote) results dampened investor expectations for the remaining earnings season, especially those names in the tech sector.
Natural Gas traded higher settling $3.47, up $0.033 0.9%. The curve was mostly firmer (outside of X/F $0.027 weaker, UNG concludes tomorrow), J13/F14 $0.017 firmer, 14/16 little changed. J13/F14 -$0.528 approaching highs ~$-0.52 (charts/seasonality below). Hub cash was ~$0.19 back this morning, Z-6 down $0.05 to $3.40.
Natural Gas traded lower, settling $3.437 down $0.049 (1.4%). The curve was mixed, (X/Z $0.045 lower as the UNG roll continues through Thursday, H13/J13 $0.005 weaker, J13/V13 $0.005 firmer), 13/16 was $0.03 firmer. Hub cash was ~$0.17 back this morning, Z-6 down $0.05 to $3.45.
