Spain Recession

US Dollar Rally May Find Added Fuel in Global Slowdown Fears
Currencies

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Most of the major currency pairs continue to show significant correlations with the MSCI World Stock Index, suggesting that broad-based risk appetite trends remain dominant as drivers of price action. This puts thematic macro-level concerns – specifically, the durability of the US recovery and its ability to offset headwinds from Europe and China facing global growth – squarely at the forefront. The US economic calendar is relatively quiet, with headline event risk clustered at the end of the week as PPI and UofM Consumer Confidence readings cross the wires on Friday. This puts the onus on evaluating the extent of downward pressure.

Euro
Currencies

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The ongoing political turmoil in Europe continues to shake the markets, with the inability for Greece to form a government now fueling speculation that the country might soon exit the Eurozone. Although an exit by Greece would have only a minimal impact on the broader economy, given the country’s size, fears of contagion seem to be the bigger problem right now, as investors start to price in the impact this will have on larger economies like Spain and Italy.

EUR Bearish Pattern Continues To Take Shape, GBP Correction In Focus
Currencies

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Euro: French, Greek Elections Raises Risk For Breakup – 1.3000 Crucial British Pound: Correction In Focus, BoE To Discuss Exit Strategy Euro: French, Greek Elections Raises Risk For Breakup – 1.3000 Crucial The Euro tumbled to a fresh monthly low of 1.2954 as French President Francois Hollande overtook Nicolas Sarkozy as the president of France, while the two main parties in Greece failed to obtain a joint majority, and the

Lower Eurozone Producer Prices Fail to Stimulate Euro Volatility
Currencies

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THE TAKEAWAY: PPI numbers come in lower than expected -> high energy prices continue to affect producers -> Euro trades within tight range Producer price inflation in the 17-nation Eurozone increased less than expected in March, representing the sixth consecutive monthly drop in the gauge. The month-on-month number came in at 0.6% vs. the 0.5% predicted by economists, while the yearly number was 3.3% versus the expected 3.4%. The numbers

Analyzing Entries for the Next Kiwi Move
Currencies

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The NZDUSD (Kiwi Dollar) currency pair is one riddled with uncertainty. It has spent the better part of 2012 heading higher from its January low at .7708. After moving as much as 677 pips to our standing high at .8385, the pair has faltered failing to advance further to challenge the pairs all time high at .8841.

JPY Approaching Favorable Long Entries- NZD Eyes Key Support At 8080
Currencies

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Daily Winners and Losers The Japanese yen is the top performer against a stronger dollar at the close of European trade with loss of just 0.11% on the session. The greenback has continued to outperform all its major counterparts as markets remain on the defensive after a weaker than expected ADP employment report showed the addition of just 119K private sector jobs in April, missing consensus estimates for a print

Euro
Commodities

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THE TAKEAWAY: Manufacturing PMIs much weaker than expected -> Core countries hit by slowing demand from the European south -> Euro falls against US Dollar Weak readings from the European manufacturing sector sparked a bout of Euro weakness today. The weighty German manufacturing purchasing managers’ index came in at 46.2 versus the expected 46.3. Beleaguered Italy was hit hardest, with the gauge coming in at 43.8 versus the expected 47.1.

Rise in German Unemployment Further Discourages Euro Investors
Currencies

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THE TAKEAWAY: German unemployment rises by 19K, despite expectations for 10K fall -> positive labor market trend was said to have been outweighed by slowdown of economic momentum -> Euro drops as weak PMI manufacturing also comes in

Gold Bars
Currencies

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Daily Bars Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT for DailyFX Last week’s hold above the 4/4 low suggests that gold has been forming a bullish base since mid-March. Exceeding the April high would put bulls in control towards the trendline above 1700 (that line extends off of the September 2011 and February 2012 highs).

USDCAD Trend is Down against 9980
Currencies

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240 Minute Bars Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT The multi month USDCAD range has been resolved to the downside therefore my bias is to the downside. Today’s advance off of GDP offers an opportunity to align with the larger downtrend. Resistance extends to 9925 and risk on shorts should be above 9980. Bottom Line (next 5 days) – sideways/lower?