Crude Oil Drifts Lower
Crude oil prices have eased back at the start of this week, with a barrel of Brent costing $62.25 and WTI $57.25.
Crude oil prices have eased back at the start of this week, with a barrel of Brent costing $62.25 and WTI $57.25.
Believe it or not, crude oil is actually up for the fifth consecutive day now. Despite on-going bearish news flow and downbeat sentiment, oil prices appear stable ahead of the official US weekly crude inventories data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) later this afternoon.
The price of oil has surged higher at the start of the new trading week. This has helped to lift energy stocks and also underpin commodity currencies such as the Canadian dollar (FXC, quote).
Both oil contracts have bounced back a little after Thursday’s sharp plunge. The all-time high crude stockpile levels in the US is the number one reason behind oil’s inability to move further higher in recent weeks.
Crude oil prices surged a huge $3 dollars or 5% higher at the Asian open with Brent briefly trading north of $57 and WTI above $54 a barrel before pulling back slightly.
For obvious reasons, all the focus is on the OPEC meeting. As we pointed out the possibility yesterday, oil prices have bounced back very strongly today on renewed hopes that oil ministers will, after all, be able to hammer out a deal later on to limit crude production.
Crude prices jumped in reaction to the latest weekly US crude stockpiles data but then quickly went into reverse gear, before bounce back once again.
Oil prices have been extremely volatile of late, without making any significant progress in either direction. The long and short of it is that the stream of mostly negative news has helped to halt the recent rally, while ahead of this month’s informal meeting of the OPEC in Algeria not many people will want to be betting boldly on an oil price plunge. Therefore consolidation is the dominant theme in
This morning’s IEA supply report has suggested demand would remains weak into 2017, and with a downward revision to its demand forecast, this has added a bearish tone to oil prices once again, with the WTI contract for October trading lower at $45.27 at time of writing. The IEA see the forecast for 2016 falling by 100k bpd to 1.3 mln bpd.
Over the past week and a half, crude oil prices have been on a rollercoaster ride. Within the large ranges, the force of gravity has generally worked against bullish speculators after the 3-week rally ended in mid-August when Brent hit $51 and WTI reached $49 a barrel again.